Nom nom nom!!! Hope everyone enjoyed their Thanksgiving and filled up on delicious carbs. No beef this week. No blog. Just right into the scenarios.
Week 12 shook things up a lot. 8 teams are now competing for 5 spots. Any of the 8 can be in, and any of the 8 can be out.
We lost a good man in Week 12. Phil Imbesi, AKA Philly Peppers, finally succumbed to his injury-plagued season. In the end, it was just too much to overcome. We will see you again in 2020. You can knock Dosh out though, so there still is something to play for.
Battle for the Bye
It's down to EEB and Mike Y for the bye. EEB could not deliver with Cooper Kupp Monday night and now Mike Y is in the driver's seat. A win for Mike or an EEB loss will see him through. EEB needs a win and Mike Y loss or draw. ESPN is projecting The Old Ball Sack to pound TITTY on Sunday and take the bye. We cannot yet call this one.
Wild Cards
8 teams, 5 spots. I don't ever recall a year where there was this much uncertainty heading into the final week. It's exciting!
There are two categories of teams here: "Win and In" and "Win and Need Help". Let's start with the win and in.
Win and In
When in Dallas... pic.twitter.com/YZxm2xF4Ve— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) November 29, 2019
Geno 911
Somehow finds himself in 3rd place. Tough matchup with BG. Not all is lost, however, if you lose. In fact, you'd need Ben and Cutter to tie for you to not get in. That's the only scenario where you're out. Just about in.
Bo$$town Cutter
Huge do or die game w PCE. Because of your low point total, you may not have the luxury of getting in with a loss. But it's possible. Need Dosh to lose and you're in. I did not find a scenario with Dosh losing and you missing the playoffs. Your H2H win over Lou could prove massive.
Tweeting in the Trenches
It's bad. Win and in is certainly true, but there's so much unknown. The main thing you have going for you is your point total. If you lose, you want as many teams to also be 7-6 as possible. The key matchup to watch is Geno 911. You don't want him to pass you in points, because you then could get thrown in the H2H matchups. This is by far the most volatile team out there. Could be the 3 seed. Could be out.
Pork Chop Express
If you do lose, all is not lost. You're actually in decent shape. You definitively will finish ahead of the Pylons or King because of points. But if you lose, you'll need both Stanky Monkeys and BAD NEWS BOSH to lose. Pretty straightforward set of scenarios.
Dueling Pylons
Following an unbelievable comeback Monday night against TPG, the Pylons now can lock up a playoff spot with a win (or potentially a tie). The Pylons cannot lose and get in. Playoffs start this week for this team.
Win and Need Help
If these teams do not win in Week 13, they will be eliminated. This is not a non-elimination leg.
The King's Crusaders
Just about a win and in scenario. You'd need a PCE win, BAD NEWS BOSH win and him passing you in points to miss out. It's not impossible. Dosh's point total is the one to keep an eye on. You're going to want to get the EFFL Playoffs spreadsheet fired up.
Stanky Monkeys
TPG will not go quietly. Point total is solid. You're actually in pretty good shape to get in if you do win due to the King/Pylons and PCE/Cutter matchups. Somebody has to lose (or at least not win). You should give Fusco a call to root for Cutter. If he wins, you're both almost certainly in, provided you also win.
BAD NEWS BOSH
Definitely in the worst shape of any team still in play, but also not out of it by any means. You really need Stanky Monkeys to lose. And you could really use a Cutter loss. Your H2H win over him may come into play if it's down to you two, which is definitely in play. Also keep your spreadsheet updated.
Alright, a lot to play for today. Good luck to everyone!
