Saturday, November 23, 2019

Weekend Preview - Week 12





Bet you thought I was dead! Well, guess what? Surprise!

Decided to try to be a bit more relevant and see how a late week blog would fare. Going to do a preview for the final two weeks here and see how it goes.

Philip Rivers in the Azteca was fun. I'll be honest.. I didn't watch a second of Monday Night Football. I was enthralled with the international soccer break. In fact, the game at the Azteca shifted El Tri to Toluca, where they dashed the Gold Cup dreams of Bermuda with a 93rd minute winner. Neither here nor there (also follow @We_Global on Twitter).

A real bet you can make:
Odds for which will happen first:

Philip Rivers announces retirement +120
Announces wife pregnant with baby No. 10 -160


Speaking of gambling, there were some pretty high scoring games on Sunday, which was a lot of fun. Had a 5-0 week against the spread which also was quite the thrill. Yet Mike Y pounded me into bolivion.

Ohio State may have good receivers, but QBs... ehhhh???





Shameless Pylons highlight










Beef of the Week: Troy Aikman

Guy is absolutely insufferable. "Let's see if they can't get this here". You mean let's see if they can get it? Guy probably could care less. All of a sudden the tables have turned.

It's bad enough he's tremendously biased as an announcer when he's supposed to be neutral. But he's so full of himself and he's very, very frequently wrong and yet is so confident he's right. Actually makes me cringe to hear him talk. He's in the running with Charles Davis for worst broadcaster in the NFL, but I think he's at the top of the list.


Playoff Picture

This is why you're all here. You want to know the breakdown for who's in and who's out. The magic number this year is 8... for now. 8 wins guarantees you a playoff spot. These playoffs are wide open. We'll go low to high.

Eliminated

Street Pigeons
Tequila Party Gnomes
Team BG

This is not all that unexpected. Too much claw had to be the culprit. It was a valiant effort in 2019. Will see you all in 2020.

Qualified

1. Ouch! My Hamstringy! (9-2)
Impressive record. Only 2 losses. But those 2 are to teams right behind you (Fusco and Mike Y), so you may lose out. Win your last two and the bye is yours.

2. The Old Ball Sack (8-3)
By far the most points scored, so definitely going to pick up that money. Need a win and some help with an EEB loss to secure the bye. You do own the tiebreaker.

Almost There

3. Geno 911 (7-4)
On a W6, this is the hottest team in the league. Owns head-to-head tiebreaker over almost everyone fighting for a wild card. You're probably still in with two losses.

4. Tweeting in the Trenches (7-4)
This team has definitely cooled down, but still should be fine. Owns some tiebreakers and a pretty solid point total. Still a very slight chance at the bye. I expect you to end up in the 3-5 range.

5. Pork Chop Express (6-4-1)
I think 7-5-1 will be enough to get in, as long as you don't get outscored by the Pylons by 100 points over the final two weeks. 6-6-1 and I don't know. You'd probably need some help. But you're still in good shape. Dispatch 1-10 Street Pigeons and you should be in.


The Bubble

Here's where things get interesting. It seems like the top 5 are in pretty good shape, but it's not a done deal yet. There are likely 6 teams fighting for 2 spots, which leaves no room for error. There is a set of circumstances where 6-7 (or 6-6-1) could be enough to get in. But we'll know more after this week.

6. BAD NEWS BOSH (6-5)
This team has been ice cold after starting 6-2. Hasn't cracked 100 points since week 8, and with the last two against Mike Y and Philly Peppers, this team could be in some trouble. Win over Cutter may help in a tiebreak scenario, but points scored may not (particularly if Phil makes a run).

7 Bo$$town Cutter (6-5)
Another team that doesn't give me a warm and fuzzy. Ripped off 6 straight mid-season, but now with back-to-back losses and a final two against 2 teams in front of you needing to win, I'm concerned. Additionally concerning is your low point total, which will not help in a tiebreak. I think if you finish 7-6, that may not be enough because of your tiebreaker situation.

8. Dueling Pylons (5-5-1)
Back to back losses against the league's elite currently has the Pylons on the outside looking in. 1-1 in the final two probably won't be enough unless something crazy happens. But 2-0 may be sufficient. This team just hasn't put it together yet and is running out of time. Game v King is probably an elimination game.

9. Philly Peppers (5-6)
Of the teams currently on the outside, I actually like this team's chances the best to make it. Really good point total and finally getting healthy. Head-to-head with Dosh in Week 13 could very well knock one of you out. You don't control your own destiny, but you'd need some bad luck to miss out if you win two.

10. The King's Crusaders (5-6)
3 weeks in a row without cracking 100. But got a huge win against Dosh in Week 11. Hamstringy and Pylons basically means your playoffs start now. I think it'll be really tough for you to get in at 6-7. But, if you do get a win this week, the matchup with the Pylons next week will likely knock one team out.

11. Stanky Monkeys (5-6)
Still only one game back of a playoff spot and a decent point total. So you're definitely not out of it. Beat Dosh and Phil, so you'd win a head-to-head tiebreaker over them. I think your last two games are winnable, so at 7-6 you could sneak in.


It's pretty remarkable at this point that there are 6 teams within 1 game of each other right on the playoff bubble. It's going to come down to the final week, and there are far too many permutations to make a bet at this point. It's fun.

Good luck to everyone in Week 12. Once the dust settles, I'll be back with a playoff update.